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This Week on Wall Street - Week of May 8th

Our model readings are showing some exhaustion signals from last week across the board, yet the theme from last week remained; Large caps are holding strong against small caps while growth is beating value.

Market Commentary

Our model readings are showing some exhaustion signals from last week across the board, yet the theme from last week remained; Large caps are holding strong against small caps while growth is beating value.

Despite Friday's strong rebound, we are still in the choppy trading zone that goes back nearly 1 year. Traders continue to look to 4,180 as strong resistance and the line in the sand for bears. As we mentioned last week, this sideways trend has been driven by better-than-expected corporate earnings offset by the economic slowdown and fear of regional bank collapse.

On the economic front, we will get more information on inflation after the CPI report Wednesday. Estimates are calling for a 5% year-over-year rise and a 0.4% monthly rise. Last Friday, the blowout jobs report likely support bets on the Fed holding rates for longer than expected. Markets had priced in a cut in July, however after the jobs report, those bets waned and were pushed out until past September.

Among sectors, we are seeing strength out of Technology, Real Estate, and Utilities while Energy, Financials, and Industrials are at the bottom of the pile. Picking names with relative strength within sectors has remained the dominant and most effective strategy.

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What is Newton?

r Newton model attempts to determine the highest probability of future price direction by using advanced algorithmic and high-order mathematical techniques on the current market environment to identify trends in underlying security prices. The Newton model scores securities over multiple time periods on a scale of 0-20 with 0 being the worst and 20 being the best possible score. Trend & level both matter.

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Economic Releases This Week

Monday: Fed Senior Loan Survey

Tuesday: New York Fed President Williams Speaks

Wednesday: Consumer Price Index

Thursday: Producer Price Index, Initial & Continuing Jobless Claims

Friday: Import Price Index

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Technical trading models are mathematically driven based upon historical data and trends of domestic and foreign market trading activity, including various industry and sector trading statistics within such markets. Technical trading models, through mathematical algorithms, attempt to identify when markets are likely to increase or decrease and identify appropriate entry and exit points. The primary risk of technical trading models is that historical trends and past performance cannot predict future trends and there is no assurance that the mathematical algorithms employed are designed properly, updated with new data, and can accurately predict future market, industry and sector performance.